The Soapbox

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What's this?

Still, is $2k or $4.5k really that interesting?

Sure, you can adjust the bets to make the payoff more lucrative, but then your black swan loss is even more painful.

(In response to this post by CharlestonSC)

Posted: 01/24/2024 at 12:29PM

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Current Thread:

If you're sure it's going to be Biden vs. Trump you can actually make money -- CharlestonSC 01/24/2024 09:59AM

Yeah, that seems right to me. I mean, you have a decent -- BocaHoo91 01/24/2024 12:09PM

Biden is 81 and Trump is 77 and overweight ... they both could die and -- CharlestonSC 01/24/2024 12:20PM

If something happened to Trump would the Dems work on getting Biden to step -- CAVern 01/24/2024 12:51PM

Serious question....why not four more years of Biden? ** -- Seattle .Hoo 01/24/2024 1:02PM

For me, it IS the age thing. I'm aware that i border on paranoid when i -- CAVern 01/24/2024 1:09PM

And yet Biden has somehow managed to organize a coordinated NATO response -- Seattle .Hoo 01/24/2024 1:42PM

Biden is the most unfairly maligned president since at least GWHB. ** -- Faz d. Hoo 01/24/2024 6:40PM

Still, is $2k or $4.5k really that interesting? -- BocaHoo91 01/24/2024 12:29PM

Honestly, I couldn’t bet on Trump to win in good conscience -- WahooMatt05 01/24/2024 11:39AM

You *could* structure the bets such that a Trump win = breaking even and -- CharlestonSC 01/24/2024 11:42AM

It's a form of risk arb (not exactly). Usually the risk is discounted ... -- Blah 01/24/2024 11:54AM

Surprised it's even up with the variability. -- ryno hoo 01/24/2024 11:24AM

How do you place odds on an election that has already been rigged? ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 01/24/2024 12:23PM

💩 post ** -- Hoodeac 01/24/2024 1:44PM

Nonsense ** -- 111Balz 01/24/2024 12:53PM

Been talking with LAHoo again? ** -- Seattle .Hoo 01/24/2024 12:17PM

"Inflation offset." ** -- Blah 01/24/2024 11:35AM

With bidens age and trumps not so healthy -- TomKazanski 01/24/2024 10:20AM

The risk is obviously losing both bets if somebody else wins -- CharlestonSC 01/24/2024 10:30AM

There's also LAHoo's prediction that Biden will order a hit on Trump. -- Blah 01/24/2024 10:39AM

Biden couldn't order a pizza, much less a hit. ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 01/24/2024 10:59AM

^ Look another conspiracy theory!! ^ ** -- HoodatB 01/24/2024 11:57AM

I'd love to see a candid camera where Biden and Trump are both told to -- CharlestonSC 01/24/2024 11:23AM

(Pic) Checkmate -- ryno hoo 01/24/2024 11:25AM

Is that E. Jean Carroll or his wife? ** -- Blah 01/24/2024 11:30AM

Don thought it should be multiple choice. ** -- Lazarus 01/24/2024 12:20PM

It's from when all Dems loved Trump. Before Dems went extreme. ** -- ryno hoo 01/24/2024 11:43AM

Democrats loved Trump? When? I've always thought the guy was a clown. ** -- Seattle .Hoo 01/24/2024 1:51PM

Me, too, just a BIG phony. An even bigger phony than both -- Hoo TV 01/24/2024 1:56PM

Wasn’t Trump pro choice and pro gun control before? ** -- HoodatB 01/24/2024 11:53AM

Man can you imagine the conspiracy theories if Trump dies or has a serious -- KaHOOnah 01/24/2024 10:46AM

LA has already prepped us for this contingency. A “hit”. ** -- HoodatB 01/24/2024 11:54AM

The conspiracy theories would be intolerable. That said, I hope ... -- Blah 01/24/2024 10:50AM

Biden is just 3.5 years older than Trump. They were in HS at the same time -- KaHOOnah 01/24/2024 10:24AM

Cuz age is just a number, and anyone with eyes can see that… -- Los Angeles Hoo 01/24/2024 10:36AM

Quality 💩 post ** -- Hoodeac 01/24/2024 1:46PM

Anyone with ears can hear what Trump says -- Fuzzy Dunlop 01/24/2024 11:59AM

I can’t imagine an “investment” I’d be less eager to make. ** -- hoolstoptheheels 01/24/2024 10:05AM

On the flip side, if we're doomed to be ruled by one of them for the next -- CharlestonSC 01/24/2024 10:10AM

Right. If UVA is going to lose a sporting event, why not make $? ** -- HoodatB 01/24/2024 10:58AM

Hmmmm. Maybe I need to bet on tonight’s game instead. ** -- hoolstoptheheels 01/24/2024 11:21AM

UVA -6.5 so NCS should be something like +200 or so to win -- CharlestonSC 01/24/2024 11:25AM

The emotional hedge ... seen it once seen it a thousand times ** -- CharlestonSC 01/24/2024 11:00AM

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